Mathieu Scaglia vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Mathieu Scaglia has won 41.56% of points on his second serve, slightly outperforming Stefan Adrian Andreescu, who has achieved 39.95%.
• Return Game Statistics: In the past six months, Stefan Adrian Andreescu has been stronger in return games, winning 49.83% of opponents' second-serve points compared to Mathieu Scaglia's 47.76%.
• First Serve Returns: Stefan Adrian Andreescu also shows an edge on first serve returns, winning 34.08% of such points against Scaglia's 27.32%.
• Handling Pressure: Under pressure, the two players are quite close, with Scaglia saving 49.50% of breakpoints, while Andreescu is slightly behind at 48.84%.
• Overall Performance: Over the last year, Andreescu has a marginally better win rate at 61.36% compared to Scaglia's 60.98%.
• Surface Preference: Scaglia excels on hard courts with a win rate of 58%, whereas Andreescu's strength lies on clay with the same win percentage.
• Performance Level: Both players predominantly competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments last year. Andreescu claims a slight edge with a 62.03% win rate over Scaglia's 60.98%.
• Quality of Opposition: Scaglia has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents on average than Andreescu, with opponents at ranks of 307.61 versus 325.3.
• Deciding Sets: Scaglia performs better in decisive moments, winning 57% of deciding sets, compared to Andreescu's 44%.

Editorial Prediction (October 23, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Mathieu Scaglia and Stefan Adrian Andreescu promises to be tightly contested. Each player displays distinct strengths, with Scaglia excelling in second-serve performance and deciding-set victories, while Andreescu shows prowess in return games.

Despite Andreescu's solid defense and slightly better overall performance and win rate, Scaglia's ability to perform under pressure and his stronger showing in key metrics like deciding sets might give him the necessary edge.

Based on these analyses, Mathieu Scaglia appears slightly more likely to clinch victory in this match, leveraging his advantages in second-serve performance and high-pressure situations.